Will the Switch last 10 years?

As I discussed with former Nintendo president Reggie Fils-Aimé, the Switch seems due for some sort of upgrade... but according to Nintendo, the Switch's life cycle could be as long as 10 years.

cnet.com - Nintendo Switch 2 Expectations: Should You Buy a Switch Now, Or ...

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The Nintendo Switch arrived on the game console scene on March 3, 2017, and over five years later, not all that much has changed. As always, it's hard to know whether Nintendo is going to create a truly revamped "Switch Pro" model that's been expected off and on for years. At this point, it seems safe to buy the Switch that's already available, but if you already own an existing one, is it a good time to just wait a bit and see if a Switch 2 comes along?

Since its initial release, Nintendo has improved the Switch's battery life, released a smaller Lite model and added an iteration with a larger OLED screen last fall. The idea of the Switch, however, has remained the same. Its models mainly use the same type of CPU and GPU, too. As I discussed with former Nintendo president Reggie Fils-Aimé, the Switch seems due for some sort of upgrade... but according to Nintendo, the Switch's life cycle could be as long as 10 years. Last year, it seemed like we might get a whole new Switch. Instead, the Switch OLED ended up being an incremental upgrade. Will Nintendo finally evolve the Switch even further? Nintendo has historically released new consoles roughly every five to six years, and the Switch came out in 2017. The Wii U, in 2012. The Wii, 2006. The GameCube, 2001. The N64, 1996. Does that mean Nintendo could dream up a whole new successor to the Switch, something that could be completely different and unexpected? As different from the Switch as the Wii was from the GameCube? Who knows? But we may still see a true upgraded version of the Switch (a Switch 2, a Switch Pro or whatever it's called) in the near future, if leaks and rumors are to be believed. It could be something that's a true boost compared with the more modestly tweaked Switch OLED released last fall.

Reports suggest that a Switch Pro might still be in the works, or perhaps that the Switch Pro will end up becoming a Switch 2. Would Nintendo plan that hardware alongside the next Breath of the Wild game that's now delayed until 2023? Would that be the hardware that the long-expected Metroid Prime 4 is made for, maybe?

Nintendo's comments last year suggesting the Switch is midway through its life cycle suggest more iterative upgrades to come, but right now a more powerful chip seems like the logical next move, whenever that might be. Last fall, Bloomberg reported on game developers already having hardware to work on 4K Switch games, and earlier this year a reported Nvidia leak took social media by storm as Twitter users pointed out possible hints to new Switch models in the source code. It would make a lot of sense, but I've been down this road before: last year, to be exact. Nintendo hasn't indicated that any new hardware is coming, but Nintendo tends to keep its hardware news under wraps, and surprise announcements (like last year's sudden OLED Switch drop) are the norm. Right now, I think it's fine to buy a Switch that's already out there. The Switch remains a great, but aging, handheld system with a steady supply of indie games. The Stanley Parable and Valve's Portal collection have been notable highlights for me.

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Nintendo's own supply of first-party games has been slowing down a bit. The newest Kirby game is fantastic, and Splatoon 3 and Bayonetta 3 promise to be great. Switch Sports was a nice surprise. It still feels like a lull compared to the first few years of the Switch, though. Nintendo already checked off a few of my Switch wishlist boxes with the OLED model last fall. But let's dream of that Switch 2, because there are some clear areas to address as this hardware hits its five-year mark.

Screenshot by Scott Stein/CNET

A new processor

4K graphics aren't the only thing Nintendo could adopt: Think graphics that could let the Switch finally compete with newer Xbox and PlayStation consoles and games. The Switch has been struggling with games that push high-end graphics that can run on the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X. It's led to a trend of cloud streaming games on the Switch that need to be internet-connected to work. While game streaming is only going to grow, the Switch needs to be able to handle these games better. Could it even, somehow, add graphics processing in the dock itself? That would ramp up the cost, but it's an interesting thought. Some computers can do that now, adding a Thunderbolt-connected graphics unit while docked. But on a console it could become a messy idea (memories of the Sega Genesis 32X start to pop up). One question with an upgraded Switch processor would be how Nintendo balances games for the "new" system versus the older one. The Nintendo 3DS got a chip upgrade midcycle with the New Nintendo 3DS, but its advantages were subtle. Sony's PlayStation 4 Pro improved graphics for many PS4 games, acting as a stepping stone between the PS4 and PS5, but it wasn't an essential pickup for most gamers. Microsoft did something similar with the Xbox One X before the Series X and S, so there's precedent. Valve's Steam Deck has set the new mark for where handheld game systems can evolve. Even though the Steam Deck is huge, it's capable of running full PC games. It can stream games, too. Nintendo's Switch needs to catch up, to some degree, with where the rest of the mobile and handheld gaming landscape is heading.

Charles Wagner/CNET

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Fix those Joy-Cons

Those little versatile Joy-Con controllers that slide onto the Switch are a brilliant idea… but they've aged awkwardly. Many Joy-Cons end up with drift problems or worn-out buttons over time. I can't stand how small they are, and their trigger buttons, which aren't analog. The haptic vibrations, while ahead of their time in 2017, now seem behind what the Xbox and PlayStation (and phones) can do. The Switch OLED's Joy-Cons are meant to have subtly addressed the drift problem, but are otherwise the same as ever. I'd love a whole new type of Joy-Con, one that could still work with older Switch games. I'd even say that an improved Joy-Con might be my most hoped-for feature on a next-gen Switch.

Scott Stein/CNET

An even better Switch display

The OLED Switch has an excellent 7-inch OLED screen that's far more vibrant than previous Switch models. I love it, but it's not enough. That display's 720p resolution is fine for Nintendo's current games, but an even better 1080p OLED would make sense for a next-gen Switch. The Switch can already output to 1080p on a TV with the dock. Maybe that screen size could be improved even more, creeping to 8 inches? The OLED Switch shrank down bezel sizes considerably compared with the older Switch, but there's still wiggle room. Most current Nintendo games don't lean on high-res graphics that much, but if Nintendo boosts that processor to allow for more competitive next-gen games to work on Switch hardware, there would be reasons to improve that display.

But when?

Trying to read the Nintendo crystal ball on when its next hardware will arrive is often nearly impossible. Nintendo keeps its news extremely locked down, and doesn't tend to announce hardware on any normal or event-targeted schedule. Nintendo has frequent Direct video streams announcing games, but its consoles and surprise curveball products often emerge with no advance warning at all. But, five years into the Switch's life cycle, it feels like the countdown to a truly new Nintendo gaming device has already begun. For more, take a look at CNET's Nintendo Switch OLED review and the best games to play on your Switch today. Have you ever broken your gaming console? I have, and there's a way to fix it.

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